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... tty good relationship with China after bringing Men Butler over this year. Since losing Re LaFrentz, they have no center. He's a great fit here, though I've heard that Yao didn't include the Nuggets on the short list of teams he was willing to leave China for. Who they'd take No. 3: Dajuan Wagner or Mike Dunleavy. Wagner's the next best thing to Williams.
He has the talent to go this high and he'd be instant offense for the Nuggets, regardless of what position he plays. They " re also intrigued by Dunleavy. Though small forward is less of a need (they still like James Posey), they won't have a guy who can extend the defense after Vision Lenard takes off this summer. 5. Houston Rockets Number of balls: 89 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 8. 9 % | No. 2 pick: 9. 6 % | No. 3: 10. 8 % Who they'd take No. 1: Yao Ming. This is a bit iffy. He's clearly an upgrade over Kelvin Cato and with Steve Francis manning the point, they don't need Williams.
Coach Rudy Tomjanovich has has been itching to go international and knows a thing or two about coaching foreign-born centers. Who they'd take No. 2: Mike Dunleavy. League sources say the Rockets are one of the teams telling Dunleavy they'd take him very high if he entered the draft. They have a need at small forward and they have some time for him to develop with Glen Rice still hanging around. Who they'd take No. 3: Caron Butler. If Dunleavy and Yao were gone, they " re also very high on Butler.
His toughness, athleticism and energy should meld well with their high-octane backcourt. They also like Nikoloz Tskitishvili, but they could probably trade down and get him later in the lottery. 6. Cleveland Cavaliers Number of balls: 64 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 6. 4 % | No. 2 pick: 7. 2 % | No. 3: 8. 2 % Who they'd take No. 1: Jay Williams. Yes, they have Andre Miller, but they also have serious contract issue with him. Williams provides some of the same point guard skills and gives them a more potent scorer.
Miller's value is very high around the league and the team could probably trade him for a couple of young All-Stars in training. Who they'd take No. 2: They wouldn't dare take Yao. Cleveland is Taiwan as far as the Chinese are concerned. Wilcox, Butler or Dunleavy would all get a look here. Tyrone Hill has only one year left on his deal and the Cavs will try to shop Lamond Murray this summer, so there's a need. They haven't worked out any of these players, so it's a bit early to say who'd have the edge.
Who they'd take No. 3: See No. 2. 7. New York Knicks Number of balls: 44 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 4. 4 % | No. 2 pick: 5. 0 % | No. 3: 5. 9 % Who they'd take No. 1: Yao Ming. Sorry Knicks fans. This will be a very unpopular pick, but Scott Layden is convinced that Yao is the answer to all of his problems.
If Yao turns into the next Frederic Weis, the fans will have Layden's head on a platter. Who they'd take No. 2: Jay Williams. Yes, they have a ton of point guards, but none of them are nearly as talented as Jay. Williams wants to play in New York and Layden may be able to figure out a way to ship out either Charlie Ward or Howard Eisley. Who they'd take No. 3: Chris Wilcox. The Knicks love him.
He's the type of athletic power forward they " ve longed for. He can run the floor, bang inside and block shots. He's a bit of project, but the team will take a chance on his upside. 8. Atlanta Hawks Number of balls: 29 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 2. 9 % | No. 2 pick: 3. 4 % | No. 3: 4. 0 % Who they'd take No. 1: The Hawks need to win one of these top 3 picks or they " ll have to send their pick to the Clippers. If the team does get the No. 1 pick, it's Williams all the way. Jason Terry is just more comfortable playing shooting guard and as much as I love Jacque Vaughn, he isn't the answer.
Who they'd take No. 2: Mike Dunleavy. Toni Kukoc is plagued by injuries and Dunleavy may be a lot closer in skill level to Kukoc than Larry Bird or Grant Hill. The team really struggled to find a consistent three-point threat and even though Dunleavy will need a few years to develop his body, he " ll still be able to play on the perimeter until he gets stronger. Who they'd take No. 3: If Dunleavy isn't around, they " ll look at Butler and maybe even Tskitishvili.
They " re set everywhere else. 9. Phoenix Suns Number of balls: 15 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 1. 5 % | No. 2 pick: 1. 8 % | No. 3: 2. 1 % Who they'd take No. 1: Tough decision. They " re publicly still behind Stephen Marbury, but if they could draft Williams, they might be able to swap Marbury for a strong power forward. Williams may be too good to pass up here. Who they'd take No. 2: You'd think Yao would get a look, but the word around the league is that Jerry Colangelo isn't impressed.
If that's true than they " ll go with the guy they really covet, Wilcox. The team has been searching for the past four seasons for a replacement for Antonio Mc Dyess. He's as close as you get. Who they'd take No. 3: If Wilcox were gone for some reason, Drew Gooden might be a nice pick for them here. While he isn't quite the low-post player that Wilcox is, he's more versatile. 10. Miami Heat Number of balls: 14 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 1. 4 % | No. 2 pick: 1. 7 % | No. 3: 2. 0 % Who they'd take No. 1: Jay Williams.
Rod Strickland and Anthony Carter are nice, but Williams has the potential to turn the Heat around right away. He's the one player that takes them from lottery team to a Finals contender right away. Who they'd take No. 2: With Alonzo Mourning on the decline it's not inconceivable that the Heat would take a chance on Yao. Riley has always liked to have size on his team and there's a good possibility that the Chinese wouldn't object to their national treasure playing for one of the NBA's best coaches. Who they'd take No. 3: Mike Dunleavy or Caron Butler. Dunleavy gives Riley the versatility and outside shooting he covets.
Butler gives him the aggressiveness and toughness he demands. If you could mold the two together, you'd have the perfect Pat Riley player. 11. Washington Wizards Number of balls: 7 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 0. 7 % | No. 2 pick: 0. 8 % | No. 3: 1. 0 % Who they'd take No. 1: Jay Williams. Michael Jordan would " ve taken him No. 1 last season and he'd do it again this year. With Chris Whitney and Tyrone Lue in the backcourt, anything is an upgrade at this point. Who they'd take No. 2: Yao would like to play in Washington, but Jordan has shown a mistrust in the past of international players.
He summarily dismissed Pau Gas as a legitimate candidate last year and has never had an affinity for big men. Instead, he'd probably go after a small forward with some size. Dunleavy and Butler are both candidates here. Who they'd take No. 3: See No. 2 -- Dunleavy or Butler. 12. Los Angeles Clippers Number of balls: 6 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 0. 6 % | No. 2 pick: 0. 7 % | No. 3: 0. 9 % Who they'd take No. 1: Jay Williams. I really don't think Donald Sterling is this lucky, but if the team could land Williams, it'd be scaring the hell out everyone in the West next year come playoff time.
Who they'd take No. 2: Yao Ming. Why not? With the chance that he might not even come over here, he's the perfect pick for Sterling -- he might not cost him a penny. Who they'd take No. 3: Chris Wilcox or Drew Gooden. They need more size. Wilcox would give them another power player to go along with Elton Brand.
Gooden is more in the Lamar Odom mold. 13. Milwaukee Bucks Number of balls: 5 out of 1000 Odds of winning: No. 1 pick: 0. 5 % | No. 2 pick: 0. 6 % | No. 3: 0. 7 % Who they'd take No. 1: Jay Williams. See ya Sam. The Bucks don't need another player who loves to chuck it up, but at least it would be an excuse to ship the moody Cassell out of town. Who they'd take No. 2: Yao Ming. I'm sure George Karl hates him, but the Bucks could use the interior defense.
Who they'd take No. 3: Chris Wilcox would give them the athletic power forward they " ve never had.
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